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52222
1998
[H.N.S.C. No. 10545]
FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS OF THE COMMISSION TO ASSESS THE BALLISTIC MISSILE THREAT TO THE UNITED STATES
HEARING
BEFORE THE
COMMITTEE ON NATIONAL SECURITY
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
ONE HUNDRED FIFTH CONGRESS
SECOND SESSION
HEARING HELD
JULY 16, 1998
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HOUSE COMMITTEE ON NATIONAL SECURITY
One Hundred Fifth Congress
FLOYD D. SPENCE, South Carolina, Chairman
BOB STUMP, Arizona
DUNCAN HUNTER, California
JOHN R. KASICH, Ohio
HERBERT H. BATEMAN, Virginia
JAMES V. HANSEN, Utah
CURT WELDON, Pennsylvania
JOEL HEFLEY, Colorado
JIM SAXTON, New Jersey
STEVE BUYER, Indiana
TILLIE K. FOWLER, Florida
JOHN M. McHUGH, New York
JAMES TALENT, Missouri
TERRY EVERETT, Alabama
ROSCOE G. BARTLETT, Maryland
HOWARD ''BUCK'' McKEON, California
RON LEWIS, Kentucky
J.C. WATTS, Jr., Oklahoma
MAC THORNBERRY, Texas
JOHN N. HOSTETTLER, Indiana
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SAXBY CHAMBLISS, Georgia
VAN HILLEARY, Tennessee
JOE SCARBOROUGH, Florida
WALTER B. JONES, Jr., North Carolina
LINDSEY GRAHAM, South Carolina
JIM RYUN, Kansas
MICHAEL PAPPAS, New Jersey
BOB RILEY, Alabama
JIM GIBBONS, Nevada
BILL REDMOND, New Mexico
KAY GRANGER, Texas
MARY BONO, California
IKE SKELTON, Missouri
NORMAN SISISKY, Virginia
JOHN M. SPRATT, Jr., South Carolina
SOLOMON P. ORTIZ, Texas
OWEN PICKETT, Virginia
LANE EVANS, Illinois
GENE TAYLOR, Mississippi
NEIL ABERCROMBIE, Hawaii
MARTIN T. MEEHAN, Massachusetts
ROBERT A. UNDERWOOD, Guam
JANE HARMAN, California
PAUL McHALE, Pennsylvania
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PATRICK J. KENNEDY, Rhode Island
ROD R. BLAGOJEVICH, Illinois
SILVESTRE REYES, Texas
TOM ALLEN, Maine
VIC SNYDER, Arkansas
JIM TURNER, Texas
F. ALLEN BOYD, Jr., Florida
ADAM SMITH, Washington
LORETTA SANCHEZ, California
JAMES H. MALONEY, Connecticut
MIKE McINTYRE, North Carolina
CIRO D. RODRIGUEZ, Texas
CYNTHIA A. McKINNEY, Georgia
ELLEN TAUSCHER, California
ROBERT BRADY, Pennsylvania
Andrew K. Ellis, Staff Director
David Trachtenberg, Professional Staff Member
Michelle Spencer, Research Assistant
(ii)
C O N T E N T S
HEARING
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1998
HEARING:
Thursday, July 16, 1998, Findings and Conclusions of the Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States
APPENDIX:
Thursday, July 16, 1998, Findings and Conclusions of the Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States
THURSDAY, JULY 16, 1998
FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS OF THE COMMISSION TO ASSESS THE BALLISTIC MISSILE THREAT TO THE UNITED STATES
STATEMENTS PRESENTED BY MEMBERS OF CONGRESS
Skelton, Hon. Ike, a Representative from Missouri, Ranking Member, Committee on National Security
Spence, Hon. Floyd D., a Representative from South Carolina, Chairman, Committee on National Security
WITNESSES
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Butler, Gen. George Lee, (USAF), Ret., Member, Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States (Former Commander in Chief, U.S. Strategic Command)
Graham, Hon. William R., Member, Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States (Former Science Advisor to the President and Director, White House Office of Science and Technology Policy)
Rumsfeld, Hon. Donald, Chairman, Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States (Former Secretary of Defense)
APPENDIX
DOCUMENTS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD:
Iran, N. Korea Missile Gains Spur Warning also Panel Sees Emerging Arms Threat articles
No-warning attack on U.S. said possible in 5 years
Panel Syas U.S. Faces Risk of a Surprise Missile Attack
Report of the Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States Executive Summary
Tenet George J., Letter to Hon. Ike Skelton
The Wall Street Journal Review & Outlook Zero Warning
Questions and Answers
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